Bei Jing Shang Bao·2026-01-04 12:38Core Viewpoint - In 2025, the A-share market experienced an upward trend, with major indices rising and the Shanghai Composite Index briefly returning to 4000 points. The favorable market conditions led to significant performance from actively managed equity funds, with 90% of funds achieving positive returns and 151 funds doubling their returns. The technology sector, particularly AI-related stocks, is expected to remain a key theme in 2026, although there are concerns about potential structural or phase-based corrections [1][3][6]. Fund Performance - By the end of 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index increased by 18.41%, 29.87%, and 49.57% respectively. Among 21,003 funds, 19,916 achieved positive returns, representing over 94%. Specifically, 7,685 actively managed equity funds saw 7,454 (96.99%) achieve positive returns, with 129 funds doubling their returns [3][4]. - The top ten performing funds were all actively managed equity funds, with the highest returns from Yongying Technology Select Mixed A/C at 233.29% and 231.21%, respectively, setting a new record for annual returns in the domestic public fund market [2][3]. Investment Themes - The top-performing fund manager, Ren Jie, highlighted "cloud computing" as a core focus, with significant holdings in stocks like Xinyi Technology and Zhongji Xuchuang, which saw increases of 424.03% and nearly 400% respectively in 2025 [4]. - The technology sector, particularly AI computing, is expected to remain a significant theme in 2026, with analysts predicting continued growth in sectors such as humanoid robot chips, semiconductor computing algorithms, and solid-state batteries [6][7]. Market Outlook - Analysts anticipate that the A-share bull market will continue into 2026, with a focus on fundamental improvements and verification of economic conditions. There is a cautionary note regarding potential corrections in the technology sector, while resource stocks may emerge as a new focal point [6][7]. - The market is expected to see increased liquidity and a shift of household savings into the capital market, potentially transitioning from a structural bull market to a comprehensive bull market, with more sectors experiencing growth [7].