UBS(US:UBS) Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao·2026-01-04 14:17Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that structural changes in the Chinese market are expected to drive continued upward momentum in Chinese stocks, particularly in technology sectors, with significant returns anticipated in 2026 [1][4]. - In 2025, the MSCI China Index saw a return rate exceeding 30%, outperforming the S&P 500's return of approximately 16.39% [1]. - Global institutions are increasingly launching China-focused ETFs, with a total of 53 ETFs listed in the U.S., amounting to approximately $31.47 billion in total assets [2]. Group 2 - The largest Chinese ETFs in the U.S. include KWEB, MCHI, FXI, CQQQ, and ASHR, with KWEB having the largest size at $8.02 billion [2]. - CQQQ was a standout performer in 2025, attracting over $2 billion in inflows, while KWEB and MCHI received inflows of approximately $1.973 billion and $871 million, respectively [2]. - The interest in non-U.S. ETFs, including those focused on China, is expected to continue growing in 2026, driven by attractive valuations compared to U.S. stocks [3]. Group 3 - UBS Wealth Management forecasts that advanced manufacturing and technology will be key growth drivers for the Chinese market in 2026, supported by increased government R&D investment [4]. - The Chinese government aims to boost R&D spending to at least 3.2% of GDP by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 7% [4]. - Abundant liquidity, with approximately 7 trillion RMB in household savings, is expected to flow into the stock market, particularly in sectors like cloud computing, e-commerce, and AI [5].