有内行人预测：2026年这四大现象或将席卷全国，建议提前应对

Economic Overview - The domestic economy is showing a "steady improvement" trend, with an expected growth rate of around 5% for 2025, leading to an economic total of approximately 140 trillion yuan [1] - The per capita disposable income for residents reached 32,509 yuan in the first three quarters, reflecting a nominal increase of 5.1% year-on-year, and a real increase of 5.2% after adjusting for price factors [1] - Overall domestic prices remain stable, with declines observed in the prices of housing, vehicles, small appliances, and pork [1] Housing Market Trends - A long-term adjustment trend in housing prices began in 2022, with declines noted in second and third-tier cities like Zhengzhou, Tianjin, and Shijiazhuang, followed by adjustments in first-tier cities such as Shanghai and Shenzhen [5] - By 2026, housing prices in second and third-tier cities are expected to stabilize, while first-tier cities may experience further declines, leading to a divergence in national housing prices [5] Employment Landscape - The number of flexible employment workers has surpassed 300 million, with projections indicating it could exceed 400 million in the coming years [7] - Flexible employment includes individuals with unstable incomes and non-fixed jobs, such as freelancers, gig workers, and part-time workers [7] - Many individuals with formal jobs are also seeking side jobs due to stagnant income growth, contributing to the rise in flexible employment [7] Community Care and Aging Population - China is entering an aging society, with 31 million people aged 60 and above by the end of 2024, accounting for 22% of the total population [8] - The demand for community-based elderly care services is increasing, as traditional care facilities and caregivers are insufficient to meet the needs [8] - Community services are being promoted to provide assistance in meals, bathing, medical care, and housekeeping for the elderly [8] Consumer Behavior Changes - A shift towards "frugal consumption" is emerging, as many residents face stagnant or declining income growth [10] - Consumers are increasingly seeking to minimize expenses by shopping at second-hand platforms, discount supermarkets, and purchasing discounted items [10] - This trend reflects a more rational approach to spending, indicating a change in lifestyle compared to previous years [10]