傅梦孜：新多极化进程下的中美欧棋局

Group 1 - The economic growth of the US is driven by investments, particularly in artificial intelligence, with a notable trend of "NVIDIA-ization" where NVIDIA's market value has surpassed $5 trillion, making it 86 times larger than Ford's [2] - The EU shows signs of weak recovery, with a GDP growth of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter and 1.5% year-on-year in Q3 2025, primarily supported by countries like Spain and Poland [3] - China's economy is transitioning towards high-quality development, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2% in the first three quarters of 2025, significantly impacting global manufacturing, trade, and technology sectors [4] Group 2 - The international order is facing challenges from unilateralism, with China advocating for multilateralism while the US views China as a strategic competitor, leading to increased geopolitical tensions [5] - The strategic competition between the US and China has reached a "strategic stalemate," with the EU feeling sidelined in the geopolitical landscape [6] - The trade relationship between China and the EU has grown significantly, from $86.7 billion in 2001 to $847.3 billion in 2022, although recent political tensions have strained this relationship [7] Group 3 - The future of global governance is expected to be characterized by a new multipolarity, where major powers and regional groups play significant roles, necessitating the EU to enhance its strategic autonomy [8] - In a multipolar world, countries must maintain their independence and influence to avoid being dominated by any single power, emphasizing the importance of balanced capabilities in political, economic, and security domains [9] - Various functional collectives will emerge in areas such as military, technology, and public health, complicating global governance and requiring careful consideration of both domestic and international affairs [9]