和讯投顾高璐明：“黑天鹅”突袭！今天会开门红吗？

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the probability of A-shares achieving a "good start" after the holiday is still relatively high, but four key points need to be closely monitored [2] - The first key point is the assessment of the opening gap; if the opening gap approaches 1% or even exceeds 1.5%, there is a risk of early profit-taking, which could lead to a high open followed by a decline [2] - The second key point focuses on the upward momentum after the opening; if the opening gap is low, the strength of the subsequent upward movement will directly impact the day's market performance [2] - The third key point is the breakthrough situation at critical levels, particularly the need to observe whether the 3980-point support level is maintained for further upward movement [2] - The fourth key point involves the early morning trading period from 9:30 to 10:30, where the market's choice between consolidation or continuation of upward movement will set the tone for the day [2] Group 2 - The operational strategy emphasizes that if the market opens significantly higher, it is crucial not to chase prices blindly; waiting for a stabilization after a pullback is advised before considering short-term positions [3] - The current market is entering a short-term rally phase, and heavy positions are not recommended [3] - More specific operational details and market analysis will be provided in a live session scheduled for 9:50 AM [3] Group 3 - The core news highlights include the impact of the U.S. actions regarding Venezuela, which primarily affects global oil prices; initial market feedback showed a drop in international oil prices, indicating a lack of positive reaction [1] - The second key news point is the announcement from Shanghai regarding measures to accelerate the construction of a low-altitude economy manufacturing cluster, with a target of reaching a scale of approximately 80 billion yuan by 2028, which will directly benefit the low-altitude economy and related industries [1]