成品油:原油价格周期内先涨后跌 零售价调整或搁浅开局
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-05 03:31

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that during the current refined oil retail price adjustment cycle (from December 22, 2025, to January 6, 2026), international crude oil prices initially rose and then fell, leading to a high likelihood of retail price adjustments being suspended [1] - According to Zhaochuang Information, concerns about potential U.S. blockades on oil tankers from a South American country, coupled with the lack of a peace agreement in Eastern Europe, initially drove crude oil futures prices to rise [1] - However, fears of global oversupply eventually outweighed geopolitical concerns, resulting in a continuous decline in crude oil prices towards the end of the cycle [1] Group 2 - As of January 2, the reference crude oil change rate was recorded at 1.04%, with expected increases in gasoline and diesel prices of approximately 45 yuan per ton [1] - Given that there is only one working day left before the price adjustment window opens, it is anticipated that the first refined oil retail price adjustment of 2026 may be suspended [1]