Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-01-05 06:56Core Viewpoint - Citigroup initiates a 30-day upward catalyst observation for Chow Tai Fook (01929), anticipating strong operational performance for Q3 of FY2026 to be announced in January, along with an upward revision of same-store sales growth guidance [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - Following strong performances in October and November, Citigroup expects fixed-price gold product price increases to sustain ideal same-store sales growth in December [1] - The unexpected strong sales following the adjustment of the value-added tax policy is projected to positively impact the group's gross margin for the second half of FY2026 and the first half of FY2027 [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - Citigroup raises net profit forecasts for the group by 8%, 7%, and 6% for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 respectively [1] - After a stock price adjustment of over 20% in the past three months, the company is considered attractive with a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 12.8 times and a yield of 6.6% [1] Group 3: Rating and Target Price - Citigroup maintains a "Buy" rating and raises the target price from HKD 17 to HKD 18.2, reflecting the revised earnings forecast [1]