SINOLINK SECURITIES(SH:600109) 智通财经网·2026-01-05 08:45Core Insights - The report by Guojin Securities emphasizes that reusability is a key method to reduce launch vehicle costs and is crucial for overcoming bottlenecks in commercial space development [2][4] - The commercial rocket industry is entering a rapid iterative development phase, transitioning from 0 to 1, driven by the frequent launches of reusable rockets [1][4] Group 1: Reusable Rockets Development - Domestic reusable rockets are entering a phase of intensive launches, marking a new stage in low-cost exploration of commercial space [2] - The "Zhuque-3" rocket, developed by Blue Arrow Aerospace, successfully completed its maiden flight, while the Long March 12甲 rocket also attempted recovery during its first flight [2] - Current average launch costs for expendable rockets range from 110 million to 180 million yuan, while some reusable rockets are priced around 67 million USD; with full recovery, costs could drop to 2 to 5 million USD [2] Group 2: Global Competition and Cost Advantages - The Falcon 9 rocket, the world's first orbital-class reusable rocket, has completed 580 launches with a recovery success rate of 534 landings and 501 reuses [3] - Following the normalization of reusability, SpaceX's launch frequency increased significantly from 13 launches in 2019 to 138 in 2024 [3] - The launch cost for Falcon 9 is approximately 18,000 yuan/kg, and if fully reusable, it could drop to 5,000 yuan/kg, significantly lower than current operational rockets [3] Group 3: Demand from Satellite Internet Construction - The construction of satellite internet in China is accelerating, with plans to launch 44,816 satellites, leading to a projected demand for 150 commercial rocket launches per year [4] - Policy support for the commercial rocket industry is evident, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange issuing guidelines for the listing of commercial rocket companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [4] - The commercial rocket industry is transitioning into a new phase of engineering and industrialization, poised for a golden development period alongside the satellite industry [4][6]