公募基金勾勒2026年A股投资路径：盈利接棒，科技主线依旧

Core Viewpoint - The consensus among public funds is that the A-share market in 2026 will transition from "valuation-driven" to "profit-driven," with expectations of a "slow bull" or "oscillating upward" market characterized by gradual improvement in corporate earnings [2][3][4]. Market Outlook - Public funds are generally optimistic about the A-share market in 2026, predicting a shift in market drivers from "valuation repair" in 2025 to "profit-driven" growth, leading to a potential upward trend [1][2]. - The market is expected to experience a gradual upward movement, with corporate earnings recovery being a key factor for stable growth [2][3]. Sector Focus - The technology sector is identified as the core investment theme, with a shift in focus from generalized computing infrastructure to specific applications and cutting-edge technologies [4][5]. - AI is highlighted as a critical mid-level variable influencing market resilience, with expectations for significant returns from AI applications [5][6]. Balanced Investment Strategy - There is a growing emphasis on a balanced investment strategy, moving from a growth-dominant approach in 2025 to a more equitable distribution between growth and value stocks in 2026 [7][8]. - The resource and dividend asset sectors are gaining attention, driven by expectations of a global manufacturing recovery and domestic policy improvements [8]. Consumer Sector Insights - The consumer sector, previously underperforming, is now viewed positively, with expectations for recovery in consumption growth as supportive policies are implemented [8].