中银国际2026年机械设备业策略：聚焦科技成长 掘金智造新纪元

Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" continues to favor high-end manufacturing, with structural technological growth expected to be a core driver through cycles, focusing on investment opportunities in hard technology sectors such as controllable nuclear fusion, liquid cooling, solid-state battery equipment, and humanoid robots [1] Group 1: Controllable Nuclear Fusion - Controllable nuclear fusion is entering a commercial acceleration phase, with significant breakthroughs and government support enhancing its feasibility [2] - The BEST project achieved a key milestone with the successful delivery of critical components, marking a new phase in China's controllable nuclear fusion development [2] Group 2: Liquid Cooling - The demand for liquid cooling is rising due to increased computational power requirements driven by the AI era, pushing traditional cooling methods to their limits [3] - Policies tightening data center PUE requirements are further propelling the shift towards liquid cooling solutions, with cold plate liquid cooling emerging as the mainstream technology [3] Group 3: Lithium Battery Equipment - The demand for lithium batteries is robust, driven by the growth in electric vehicles and energy storage, leading to a resurgence in capital expenditure and capacity expansion in the industry [4] - Solid-state batteries are expected to benefit from this new capital expenditure cycle, with plans for small-scale production by 2027-2028 [4] Group 4: Humanoid Robots - Humanoid robots are transitioning from concept to initial industrialization, with several companies achieving order and delivery breakthroughs by 2025 [5] - Key components related to traditional actuation mechanisms are expected to see increased demand as the technology matures [5] Group 5: Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery sector is witnessing a recovery in both domestic and international demand, with excavator sales showing significant year-on-year growth [6] - Positive fiscal policies and major infrastructure projects are expected to drive domestic demand, while global monetary easing may boost overseas investment [6]