券商板块持续拉升,华林证券涨停,证券ETF南方(512900)涨超3%,证券板块估值修复可期

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the securities industry is experiencing accelerated mergers and restructuring, leading to a new pattern of "strengthening the leading firms" and "developing small and medium-sized firms with unique characteristics" [1] - Local state-owned capital entering small and medium-sized brokerages is expected to enhance their capital strength and risk resistance, injecting vitality into their development [1] - The China Securities Association is strengthening the pressure testing system for brokerages, shifting from "tangible coverage" to "effective utilization," which will solidify the risk defense for the industry's stable development [1] Group 2 - The recent policies are favorable for the non-bank financial industry, with significant growth in revenue and net profit for listed brokerages expected in the first three quarters of 2025, driven mainly by brokerage and proprietary trading businesses [2] - Regulatory authorities are promoting the entry of medium- to long-term funds into the market, which is anticipated to enhance the activity level of the capital market [2] - The securities industry is positioned as a core intermediary for financing new productive forces and patient capital allocation, further strengthening its functional positioning and suggesting potential for valuation recovery in the sector [2]