Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-06 03:34Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the geopolitical situation is driving oil prices higher, with the Venezuelan oil supply being significantly disrupted, leading to a potential short-term increase in oil prices [1] - The China Securities report indicates that Venezuela's oil exports have essentially halted, creating a supply disruption in the global market, with a potential shortfall of around 1 million barrels per day [1] - The current global oil market remains in a supply surplus, with expectations that oil prices will fluctuate between $60 to $70 per barrel despite short-term upward pressure [1] Group 2 - The National Oil and Gas Index (399439) has seen a strong increase of 1.45%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Intercontinental Oil and Gas (600759) up 9.21% and Shanghai Petrochemical (600688) up 4.36% [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Oil and Gas Index as of December 31, 2025, include major companies like China National Petroleum (601857) and China Petroleum & Chemical (600028), collectively accounting for 67.11% of the index [2] - The Oil and Gas ETF (159697) closely tracks the National Oil and Gas Index, reflecting the price changes of publicly listed companies in the oil and gas sector [2][3]