wanhua(SH:600309) Ge Long Hui A P P·2026-01-06 09:49Group 1 - The chemical sector is experiencing active performance, with companies like Junzheng Group rising over 9%, Xingfa Group up 8.89%, and Hengli Petrochemical increasing by 8.31% [1] - Chemical ETFs, including Chemical Leader ETF and others, have risen over 3% [1] Group 2 - Various chemical ETFs have shown positive performance, with Chemical ETF by Penghua Fund up 3.84% year-to-date, and an estimated scale of 173.65 billion [2] - The ETFs track the CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index, covering multiple sub-sectors such as fluorine chemicals and fertilizers, and include leading stocks like Wanhua Chemical and Yalake [2] Group 3 - Prices of chemical products like TDI, MDI, PX, and sulfur have rebounded, driven by concentrated inventory replenishment demand before the Spring Festival [3] - Major companies like Wanhua Chemical and BASF have issued price increase notices, indicating a clearer signal of industry bottom reversal due to supply and demand dynamics [3] - Capital expenditure in the chemical industry is expected to decline in 2024, with a potential supply contraction due to the "anti-involution" trend and the clearing of outdated overseas capacity [3] Group 4 - The chemical industry is anticipated to face dual opportunities for cyclical recovery and industrial upgrading by 2026, with traditional demand expected to recover moderately [4] - The industry has been in a bottom range for three years, and new capacity releases are nearing an end, suggesting a potential acceleration of the cyclical turning point [4] - Global carbon reduction policies and the ongoing prosperity of the AI industry are expected to create new growth demands, providing opportunities for upgrading in the chemical materials sector [4]