美国军事专家：最终世界上只有一个超级大国，那就是中国

Core Insights - Douglas Macgregor emphasizes the need for a shift in U.S. foreign policy as the Cold War has ended, suggesting that traditional alliances like NATO may fade and the U.S. should not provide free security to Europe anymore [1][3] - He highlights China's rise in manufacturing and resource control, predicting that by 2025, the U.S. will be heavily reliant on China for rare earth refining technology [1][5] - Macgregor warns of the impending U.S. debt crisis, projecting that by 2025, U.S. debt will reach $38 trillion, which could lead to a financial system collapse [1][7] Military Perspective - Macgregor argues that China's military is primarily defensive and does not seek expansion beyond Taiwan, predicting U.S. failure in defending Taiwan due to China's determination and resources [3][5] - He notes that the U.S. military is ill-suited to confront equally matched opponents and is overextended with too many bases [3][7] - He compares the decline of the U.S. to that of the British Empire, suggesting that both faced similar paths of losing global dominance [3][5] Economic Trends - Macgregor states that global wealth is shifting towards the East, with China and India rising while the BRICS economies have surpassed the G7 in size [5][7] - He critiques U.S. imperialism for causing domestic turmoil and economic decline, asserting that the real issues lie within the U.S. rather than attributing them solely to China [5][7] - He highlights that China's manufacturing accounts for over 30% of global production, while the U.S. remains heavily reliant on imports [5][7] Education and Talent - Macgregor criticizes the U.S. education system for failing to identify and nurture talent, leading to a shortage of engineers, while China invests in education to cultivate a skilled workforce [7] - He predicts that if current trends continue, China will dominate in resources and technology [7] - He emphasizes the importance of adapting to a multipolar world, warning that failure to do so could result in U.S. marginalization [7]