Bybit:传统“四年周期”或失效,2026 年加密市场前景偏积极
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-06 14:56

Core Viewpoint - Bybit's 2026 crypto market outlook suggests that the traditional "four-year cycle" may no longer be a suitable framework for analyzing spot prices in 2026, indicating a shift in market dynamics [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The report highlights new sources of demand, a favorable macro environment, and ongoing regulatory support as key factors contributing to a relatively positive outlook for 2026 [1] - The macro market is currently pricing in the possibility of further easing by the Federal Reserve, which may lead to Bitcoin (BTC) reinforcing its positive correlation with U.S. equities [1] Group 2: Value Drivers - Real World Assets (RWA) and tokenization activities are identified as significant value drivers for 2026 [1] - The options market currently assigns a 10.3% probability for BTC to reach $150,000 by the end of 2026, which the report considers to be low [1]

Bybit:传统“四年周期”或失效,2026 年加密市场前景偏积极 - Reportify