成交额超3亿元，国债ETF5至10年(511020)历史持有3年盈利概率为100.00%

Group 1 - The current 10-year government bond yield has adjusted to 1.88%, and the 30-year yield has adjusted to 2.31%, indicating that long-term government bonds and local government bonds have investment value if they adjust further by 3-5 basis points or if the upward momentum of equities and commodities slows down [1] - The 3-5 year government bonds still hold significant value, and it is expected that the spread between the central bank's capital and government bonds will continue to compress after the market stabilizes [1] Group 2 - As of January 6, 2026, the active bond index for 5-10 year government bonds has decreased by 0.12%, while the government bond ETF for the same duration has dropped by 0.16%, with the latest price at 115.06 yuan [3] - The trading volume for the 5-10 year government bond ETF was 3.14 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 16.72%, indicating active market trading [3] - Over the past year, the 5-10 year government bond ETF has seen a net value increase of 20.20%, ranking 35th out of 190 in the index bond fund category, placing it in the top 18.42% [3] Group 3 - The 5-10 year government bond ETF has a maximum monthly return of 2.58% since inception, with the longest streak of consecutive monthly gains being 10 months and the highest cumulative gain during that period being 5.81% [3] - The fund has a historical annual profit percentage of 85.71% and a monthly profit probability of 70.18%, with a 100% probability of profit over a 3-year holding period [3] - The maximum drawdown for the 5-10 year government bond ETF this year is 0.14%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.02% [3] Group 4 - The tracking error for the 5-10 year government bond ETF this year is 0.015%, closely following the active bond index for the same duration [4] - The index is composed of government bonds with maturities of 5, 7, and 10 years, selected from the market to reflect the overall performance of these bonds [4]