Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-01-07 06:24Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong real estate stocks are rising, driven by expectations of a 10% increase in residential property prices this year due to increased demand from mainland buyers, limited supply, and declining interest rates [1] Group 1: Market Performance - New World Development (00016) shares increased by 2.54%, reaching HKD 101 - Swire Properties (01972) shares rose by 1.71%, reaching HKD 21.42 - Henderson Land Development (00012) shares grew by 1.46%, reaching HKD 29.2 - Cheung Kong Holdings (01113) shares climbed by 1.41%, reaching HKD 41.72 [1] Group 2: Price and Rental Expectations - Morgan Stanley forecasts a 10% increase in Hong Kong residential property prices this year due to rising demand from mainland buyers, inventory depletion, limited supply, and lower interest rates [1] - The firm also anticipates a 5% growth in rental prices, driven by talent inflow and strong rental performance, leading to higher yields and positive spread returns [1] Group 3: Stock Ratings and Target Prices - Morgan Stanley has raised target prices for several real estate stocks, with New World Development and Henderson Land Development being top picks, increasing their target prices from HKD 105 to HKD 120 and from HKD 30 to HKD 36, respectively, both receiving "Overweight" ratings [1] - Cheung Kong Holdings has also been upgraded from "Market Perform" to "Overweight," with its target price raised from HKD 39 to HKD 47 [1]