Group 1 - Morgan Stanley reports a significant increase in solar wafer and battery prices by December 2025, driven by rising costs of key materials such as polysilicon and silver paste, along with policies against internal competition [1] - The establishment of a polysilicon industry consolidation platform is expected by early December 2025, with policy-driven consolidation anticipated to occur in 2026 [1] - The firm maintains an "overweight" rating on GCL-Poly Energy (03800) and Daqo New Energy (DQ.US) [1] Group 2 - Goldwind Technology (02208) H-shares and A-shares saw price increases of 17% and 18% respectively from December 31, 2025, to January 6, 2026, outperforming the Hang Seng Index and Shenzhen Component Index [1] - The market's expectation of value release from Goldwind's 4.14% stake in Blue Arrow Aerospace, which has IPO plans, is believed to be a key factor in this price surge [1] - Goldwind's market capitalization increased by approximately 14 billion RMB since December 31, 2025, with an estimated valuation multiple for Blue Arrow Aerospace reaching 88 times the 2024 fiscal year price-to-book ratio [1] Group 3 - Siyuan Electric (002028.SZ) signed a three-year memorandum of understanding for energy storage cooperation with CATL (03750), with a total scale of 50GWh [2] - This collaboration indicates Siyuan Electric's ambition to develop its energy storage system business, potentially supporting annual revenues of around 20 billion RMB upon full capacity [2] - The partnership is expected to provide over a 10% upside to Siyuan Electric's market consensus earnings forecast for the fiscal years 2027 to 2028 [2]
小摩:预计2026年反内卷政策推动的储能行业整合 对协鑫科技等予“增持”评级