手机业务如何应对内存风险、AIot、电车、研发布局.....一文读懂小米高管在高盛电话会发言

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi is focusing on increasing the average selling price of smartphones as a primary operational goal for 2026, while significantly boosting investments in artificial intelligence to transform its entire business line and setting an annual delivery target of 550,000 electric vehicles [1][2]. Group 1: Smartphone Business - Xiaomi's strategy to counter the rising costs of storage chips involves increasing the average selling price (ASP) of smartphones, with a clear focus on high-end models [3][4]. - The upcoming Xiaomi 17 Ultra will be priced 500-700 RMB higher than the Xiaomi 15 Ultra, reflecting this strategy [3]. - The company aims to increase its market share in China by 1 percentage point annually, emphasizing the strategic importance of the Chinese market for its high-end strategy [4]. Group 2: AIoT Business - The AIoT segment is positioned as a profit stabilizer for Xiaomi, with expectations of approximately 20% year-on-year revenue growth in 2025 and a margin expansion of 2-2.5 percentage points [5]. - Xiaomi plans to increase the number of its retail stores from about 500 in 2025 to over 1,000 in 2026, while expanding product categories and exploring partnerships with cross-border e-commerce platforms [5]. - Currently, overseas AIoT revenue accounts for about 30%, with overseas smartphone revenue at 60%, indicating potential for future growth in AIoT [5]. Group 3: Electric Vehicle Business - Xiaomi has raised its delivery target for electric vehicles to 550,000 units for 2026, significantly up from the previous target of 410,000 units for 2025 [6][7]. - The growth is driven by increased manufacturing capacity and consumer confidence in new models, including the SU7 facelift and a third model set for release in the second half of 2026 [6]. - The company aims for a healthy gross margin of over 20% in the electric vehicle segment, although margins may be lower in 2026 due to tax incentives and changes in product mix [6][7]. Group 4: R&D Investments - Xiaomi plans to invest 200 billion RMB in R&D from 2026 to 2030, focusing on AI, autonomous driving, and chip development [8][9]. - AI investments are expected to account for 25% of the 320-330 billion RMB R&D budget in 2025, with a commitment to maintaining reasonable levels of investment [9]. - The company has a strong focus on developing its own chips, with significant investments already made in the XRING O1 chip, which is expected to enhance its capabilities in the electric vehicle sector [11].