关税压力下，印度预计2026财年经济增长仍达7.4%

Group 1 - The Indian government expects the economy to grow over 7% this fiscal year, maintaining its position as one of the fastest-growing major economies globally [1] - The GDP is projected to grow by 7.4% for the fiscal year ending in March, slightly below the economists' median forecast of 7.5% [1] - The nominal GDP is expected to reach approximately 357.14 trillion rupees (4 trillion USD) [1] Group 2 - Concerns arise among economists regarding the nominal GDP growth being lower than expected, indicating potential pressure on the government to cut spending to meet deficit targets [1] - The high tariffs imposed by the U.S. on Indian exports, particularly a 50% tariff on certain goods, are creating uncertainty in the economic outlook [1][2] - The labor-intensive export sectors in India, such as textiles, gems, and leather products, have been significantly impacted by these tariffs [2]