2026房价四大信号藏不住了，楼市真要变天了？

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the real estate market is showing signs of significant changes, with key indicators suggesting a shift in trends for 2026 [1] Group 2 - The price adjustment in real estate is now affecting even prime locations, with Shanghai's city center average price dropping from over 90,000 yuan per square meter in 2021 to around 60,000 yuan per square meter, indicating a broader trend of price decline from peripheral to central areas [3] - The demographic structure is changing, with the population over 60 years old exceeding 310 million, while younger generations are decreasing, leading to a reduced demand for housing as the traditional expectations of housing scarcity are being challenged [5] - The government plans to build 6 million affordable housing units over five years, with 1.2 million units expected to enter the market annually, potentially creating a divide between the commodity housing market and affordable housing options [6] - There has been a significant increase in the number of second-hand homes listed for sale, surpassing 9.2 million nationwide, with a notable 73% increase in Shenzhen, indicating a shift from a seller's market to a buyer's market [6] Group 3 - Overall, the real estate market is likely to remain "stable but weak," with variations across different cities and locations, where areas with population inflow and industrial support may stabilize, while overhyped regions may continue to adjust [7] - The changing dynamics of the market suggest that for genuine homebuyers, there are now more options and greater bargaining power, while investors should be cautious as the era of guaranteed profits from real estate investments appears to be over [7] - The narrative of the real estate market is evolving, with the focus shifting from developers and speculators to first-time homebuyers and those in need of affordable housing, highlighting the importance of understanding these changes for making informed decisions [9]