2026年爱尔兰房价持续上涨，都柏林涨幅或达4%

Core Viewpoint - The report by DNG indicates that Irish housing prices are expected to continue rising through 2026, with annual growth projected to remain in the low to mid-single digits [1]. Group 1: Housing Market Trends - The total number of new residential completions in 2025 is expected to be slightly higher than in 2024, but significant increases in supply are necessary to meet the government's target of 300,000 homes by 2030 [3]. - Price growth in the housing market is anticipated to be concentrated in the first and second quarters of the year, with Dublin prices expected to rise by 3% to 4%, while areas outside the capital are projected to see slightly higher increases [3]. - The annual price growth rate for Dublin is forecasted to be 5.2% by December 2025, a notable decrease from 9.2% in the previous year, while the growth rate for areas outside the capital was approximately 7.4% last year and is expected to follow a similar trend in 2026 [3]. Group 2: Current Market Conditions - The average price of second-hand homes in Dublin has reached €613,078, while the average price in other regions of the country is €321,603 [3]. - Factors such as a positive demographic structure, a low interest rate environment, and a robust economic backdrop are expected to continue supporting price increases, despite supply not meeting demand [3]. Group 3: Rental Market Concerns - A warning is issued regarding the upcoming rental market reform proposal set to take effect in March, which has led many small to medium-sized landlords to exit the Dublin rental market, potentially exacerbating the shortage of rental properties [3]. - DNG's CEO, Keith Lowe, has called on the government to reconsider the reform proposal and suggested allowing small landlords to sell one vacant property per year to alleviate market pressure [3].