特朗普军事冒险引爆新赌局：美国夺取巴拿马运河、进军格陵兰岛概率大增

Group 1 - Market traders are increasing their bets on potential international developments following President Trump's military actions in Venezuela [2] - Analysts indicate that Trump's confidence in using military force has grown, marking a shift in his administration's approach to international relations [2] - The probability of Trump regaining control of the Panama Canal has risen from under 30% to over 35% [2] Group 2 - The likelihood of the U.S. controlling parts of Greenland has increased to 38%, up approximately 8 percentage points from the previous week [2] - A larger prediction market shows a stable probability of 25% for Trump acquiring at least part of Greenland, up from below 20% [3] - Total betting amounts on related questions on the Kalshi platform have approached $2.5 million [4] Group 3 - Trump reiterated the need for Greenland in a recent interview, prompting a crisis response from the Danish government [5] - New prediction markets have emerged regarding potential U.S. military actions against Colombia and Cuba, with significant betting amounts involved [5] - Traders on Kalshi are predicting a 54% chance that Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei will resign before next year, with a market size nearing $1 million [5]