帮主郑重：商品市场“集体冷静”，是趋势拐点还是技术回调？

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in global commodity prices, including oil, copper, and silver, is seen as a necessary technical adjustment rather than the end of an upward trend, reflecting a "correction of expectations" and "technical adjustments" in the market [4] Group 1: Oil Market - Oil prices have dropped below $56 per barrel due to changing market expectations, particularly the U.S. indicating it may sell Venezuelan oil and relax sanctions, shifting the narrative from supply disruption to potential supply increase [3] - The oversupply situation in the oil market is expected to dominate pricing, leading to short-term pressure on oil prices if U.S. sales of Venezuelan oil materialize [5] Group 2: Industrial Metals - Copper prices have significantly declined after reaching record highs, driven by profit-taking by traders, which is considered a healthy market behavior [3] - The recent pullback in copper prices may provide a better entry point for investors who are optimistic about long-term "green demand" and global recovery [5] Group 3: Precious Metals - Precious metals like silver and platinum have also seen significant declines, influenced by overall market sentiment and technical factors such as annual commodity index rebalancing, which requires funds to adjust their holdings [3] - The decline in precious metals is part of a broader market correction, reflecting both emotional market responses and technical trading influences [4]