2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2026-01-08 03:16Core Insights - The aviation industry is expected to enter a more significant profit growth phase, as indicated by the recent national civil aviation work conference held by the Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) [1] Group 1: Industry Developments - The CAAC has outlined seven key tasks for civil aviation work in 2026, focusing on enhancing core competitiveness and innovating macro-control measures to address "involution" competition [1] - The CAAC plans to develop a passenger transport cost survey method and establish a price monitoring and early warning mechanism to prevent unhealthy competition by collecting data from airlines [1] Group 2: Pricing Trends - Domestic ticket prices have been declining, with an average bare ticket price of 704 yuan in the first 50 weeks of 2025, down 1.8% from 2024 and 11.3% from 2019 [3] - In the fourth quarter of 2025, ticket prices showed a year-on-year increase, with an average full ticket price of 628 yuan, up 2.5% year-on-year but down 10.7% from 2029 [3] Group 3: Financial Performance - The overall profitability of listed airlines improved in the first three quarters of 2025, with all but Spring Airlines and Juneyao Airlines reporting profits [4] - The CAAC reported that in 2025, the total transport turnover reached 1,640.8 billion ton-kilometers, with passenger transport volume at 770 million and cargo/mail transport volume at 10.172 million tons, reflecting year-on-year growth of 10.5%, 5.5%, and 13.3% respectively [4] Group 4: Demand Drivers - The growth in international flight demand is supported by visa-free policies, with 40.6 million foreign visitors entering China by December 16, 2025, marking a 27.2% year-on-year increase [5] - The recovery of international flights to over 90% of 2019 levels and a 21.6% year-on-year increase in international passenger transport volume further contribute to the positive outlook for airlines [4][5]