中美算大账拉开帷幕，美国开始耍赖，2026是击败中国唯一机会？

Group 1 - The U.S.-China relationship has entered a complex phase of strategic accounting, moving beyond simple tariffs and sanctions to a historical-level competition involving strategic intentions and global mobilization capabilities [1][3] - By December 2025, significant events will culminate in this strategic accounting, including the U.S. identifying China as its primary systemic competitor in a national security strategy document [3] - A notable shift in rhetoric from hawkish figures like Rubio indicates a potential change in U.S. strategy, suggesting a mix of aggression and attempts to negotiate [4] Group 2 - The U.S. plans to impose tariffs on mature process chips from China, with a delayed execution until June 2027, which is seen as a strategic move to give U.S. companies time to adapt [6] - The U.S. is leveraging its financial power, with the Federal Reserve pushing for interest rate cuts and a stronger yuan, aiming to manipulate China's capital markets [8] - Military actions, such as seizing oil tankers under the guise of sanctions, reflect the U.S. strategy to maintain energy pricing power and provoke China through geopolitical tensions [10] Group 3 - The U.S. is aware that it cannot defeat China militarily and is instead focused on delaying tactics to pressure China into concessions, testing China's strategic resolve [11][17] - The upcoming 2026 summit between U.S. and Chinese leaders is positioned as a critical moment for negotiating power dynamics, with the U.S. aiming to secure favorable terms [13] - China's advancements in technology sectors like semiconductors and AI are unexpected developments that could shift the balance of power, emphasizing a strategy of patience and calculated responses [16]