逼近4100点，沪指14连阳创最长纪录，2025年A股新开户数超2743万

Market Performance - The A-share market experienced a historic performance at the beginning of 2026, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4085.77 points, achieving a rare "14 consecutive days of gains," the longest in its history [1][3] - The index reached an intraday high of 4098.78 points, nearing the 4100-point mark, marking the highest level since July 24, 2015 [3] - The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index also saw gains, with the former closing at 14030.56 points (up 0.06%) and the latter at 3329.69 points (up 0.31%) [1][3] Trading Volume and Investor Sentiment - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.85 trillion yuan, an increase of 476 billion yuan from the previous trading day, with two consecutive days of trading exceeding 2.8 trillion yuan [1] - Investor sentiment is on the rise, with a noticeable increase in the pace of new investors entering the market [1] New Investor Accounts - In December 2025, approximately 260,000 new A-share accounts were opened, a month-on-month increase of 9% and a year-on-year increase of 30.55%, indicating strong momentum [1][6] - The total number of new accounts for the year 2025 reached 27.44 million, a 9.75% increase from 2024, marking the highest annual record since 2022 [6] Market Outlook - Analysts predict that the A-share market will transition from a structural bull market in 2025 to a comprehensive bull market in 2026, driven by increasing market profitability and a shift of household savings into the capital market [2][8] - The market is expected to see a rotation of various sectors, with technology, new energy, consumer staples, military, and non-ferrous metals being highlighted as key areas of focus [8] Institutional Investor Activity - The growth rate of new accounts among institutional investors significantly outpaced that of individual investors, suggesting a profound evolution in market dynamics [7] - This trend indicates that institutional funds may enhance market stability and facilitate a shift from a "trading market" to a "allocation market" [7] Predictions for 2026 - Major financial institutions, including Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, forecast a 12% increase in the CSI 300 index to 5200 points by the end of 2026, driven by corporate earnings growth and attractive valuations [4] - HSBC has a more optimistic outlook, predicting the Shanghai Composite Index to reach 4500 points and the Shenzhen Component Index to hit 16000 points by the end of 2026, representing potential increases of 13% and 18% respectively [5]