一天一个价,涨幅远超黄金!业内人士:离谱,但还会涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-08 03:52

Group 1 - The global DRAM market is experiencing a significant price increase, described as the "strongest" price surge in history, with most categories seeing price increases of over 100% since July 2025 [3] - DDR4 and DDR5 memory prices have increased 2-3 times within the year, and the price increase is accelerating as 2026 approaches [3][4] - Industry insiders believe that the current price cycle has not yet reached its peak, indicating further potential for price increases [3] Group 2 - The memory price surge is primarily driven by explosive demand from the AI industry, which requires 8-10 times more storage chips than standard servers, consuming 53% of global monthly production capacity [6] - Major memory manufacturers, including Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, are reallocating resources towards high-margin products like HBM and DDR5, leading to a strategic reduction in DDR4 production [7][8] - The HBM market is experiencing explosive growth, with prices increasing over 30%, and manufacturers are facing supply shortages [8] Group 3 - The rising memory prices are expected to impact smartphone production costs significantly, with memory accounting for 10% of the Bill of Materials (BoM) for the iPhone 17 Pro Max, up from 8% for the iPhone 12 Pro Max [10] - Counterpoint forecasts a 2.1% decline in global smartphone shipments in 2026 due to rising storage costs, leading to potential price increases or reduced specifications for smartphones [10] - Major manufacturers like Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix have announced price increases for various memory products, with Micron's prices rising by approximately 20% and Samsung's mobile DRAM prices increasing by 15%-30% [10]