黄金遇阻迎非农，调整后再涨！

Core Viewpoint - The analysis focuses on the recent trends and fluctuations in gold and silver markets, highlighting the impact of various economic indicators and central bank actions on these precious metals. Group 1: Market Reactions - Bloomberg index rebalancing has led to a decrease in the weight of gold and silver, which is expected to have a short-term impact as the market can quickly absorb the $10 billion in funds, temporarily suppressing bullish sentiment [1] - The central bank's foreign exchange reserves data shows a continuous increase in gold reserves for 14 months, although the increase is less than 1 ton, indicating a cautious but positive outlook for gold [1] Group 2: Price Movements and Predictions - Gold prices experienced fluctuations, with a significant resistance level at $4500, followed by a drop to around $4423, indicating a lack of strong momentum in either direction [2][4] - The focus for gold is on the resistance at $4465-70, with potential upward movement towards $4520-25 and historical highs at $4550 if broken, while support is noted at $4425 and $4400 [4] - Silver prices have shown recovery from earlier declines, with a long-term bullish outlook targeting $100 to $120, despite potential adjustments of up to 30% [4][6] Group 3: Trading Strategies - Short-term trading strategies suggest avoiding blind high purchases and focusing on low buying opportunities, with specific price levels for entry and exit points outlined for both gold and silver [2][4][6] - For silver, a cautious approach is recommended, with support levels identified at $76-76.5 and potential buying opportunities below $70 [6] - The analysis emphasizes the importance of holding physical gold long-term and suggests strategic entry points for both gold and silver based on market conditions [4][6]