东方证券:英伟达(NVDA.US)发布自动驾驶开源模型 预计Robo-X规模化进展有望加速
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-01-08 07:08

Core Insights - Nvidia has launched an open-source AI model platform, Alpamayo, aimed at enhancing autonomous driving capabilities, which is expected to accelerate the penetration of high-level autonomous driving and Robo-X services [2][3] Group 1: Nvidia's Innovations - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang introduced the open-source VLA (Vision-Language-Action) model platform, Alpamayo, at CES 2026, along with simulation tools and an open dataset containing over 1,700 hours of driving data, creating a comprehensive autonomous driving ecosystem [2] - Alpamayo, as a reasoning VLA model, can progressively solve complex problems and generate reasoning traces similar to human thought processes, enabling safe driving in complex environments and explaining safety decisions [2][3] Group 2: Market Trends and Projections - The current stage of Robotaxi services is approaching a break-even point per vehicle, with leading companies like Loongbo and Pony.ai achieving or nearing this milestone, indicating a potential increase in revenue and profitability for Robotaxi businesses [3] - The deployment costs for unmanned logistics vehicles have dropped below 100,000 yuan, making them a cost-effective alternative to manual labor, with predictions of nearly 40,000 units shipped in China by 2025 and 100,000 units by 2026 [3] Group 3: Opportunities for Suppliers - Nvidia's development of a global L4-level autonomous driving and Robotaxi ecosystem includes partnerships with various operators and suppliers, suggesting a growing demand for high-level autonomous driving components such as smart driving chips, LiDAR, domain controllers, and electronic control systems [3] - The expansion of Nvidia's autonomous driving ecosystem is expected to create ongoing opportunities for suppliers of both hardware and software in the autonomous driving sector [3] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The launch of the open-source autonomous driving model Alpamayo is anticipated to benefit automotive companies, component suppliers, and mobility service providers, with specific investment targets identified in the report [4]