SINOLINK SECURITIES(SH:600109) 智通财经网·2026-01-08 08:33Core Viewpoint - The global wind power market is expected to see significant growth, with new installations projected to reach 196 GW in 2026, representing an 18% year-on-year increase, driven by domestic and international demand [1][2]. Group 1: Global Wind Power Demand - Global wind power demand is anticipated to maintain a long-term growth trend due to economic drivers and a global electricity shortage exacerbated by increasing AI and electrification rates [2][3]. - For 2025, global new wind power installations are expected to be 167 GW, a 34% increase year-on-year, with domestic installations at 120 GW (+38%) and overseas installations at 47 GW (+24%) [2]. - The domestic wind power market is projected to break the cycle of the "Five-Year Plan" and continue to grow, supported by offshore wind, equipment upgrades, and green electricity connections [1][2]. Group 2: Offshore Wind Power Market - The European offshore wind market is expected to experience the fastest growth among international segments, with a CAGR of 32% from 2025 to 2030, driven by policy adjustments and increased project success rates [3]. - The demand for offshore wind power is projected to remain high, with a CAGR of 14% from 2025 to 2030, supported by the transition of the domestic supply chain to a full-service model [3]. Group 3: Equipment and Supply Chain Dynamics - The price of onshore wind turbines in China is expected to rise by approximately 11% in 2025, with continued profitability for manufacturers anticipated in 2026-2027 due to high-value orders [4]. - The export of wind turbine equipment is expected to accelerate, with new orders projected to reach 40 GW in 2025, a 43% increase year-on-year, driven by both domestic and international market growth [4]. Group 4: Domestic and International Supply Chain Orders - Supply chain orders for offshore wind projects in Europe are expected to be released 3-4 years before project grid connection, with significant orders for piles and submarine cables anticipated in 2026 and 2027 [5]. - In China, over 15 GW of offshore wind projects are ready to commence, indicating strong domestic demand and profitability potential in the supply chain [5]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The industry is expected to see improved profitability across various segments, with recommendations for companies in the turbine manufacturing sector, offshore cable and foundation segments, and component manufacturers benefiting from domestic and international market dynamics [7].