3 6 Ke·2026-01-08 09:31Group 1 - The insurance industry experienced a strong start in 2026, with the A-share insurance sector rising nearly 10% by January 7, and several stocks, including New China Life, reaching historical highs [1] - The surge in insurance stocks is attributed to the "New Year Opening" business exceeding expectations, driven by the trend of residents moving savings and low interest rates, with dividend insurance becoming the main product [1][2] - The rise of dividend insurance reflects a shift in the industry from scale competition to a focus on stable operations and customer value, indicating that future winners will be those who can transform extensive sales networks into deep service ecosystems [1][3] Group 2 - The core feature of the "New Year Opening" is a profound change in product structure, with dividend insurance becoming the main product due to its "guaranteed + floating return" nature [2] - Major insurance companies are promoting dividend insurance, with products like China Life's "Guoshou Xinhongfu" and New China Life's "Shengshi Rongyao" leading the way, capitalizing on the current low bank deposit rates [2] - The appeal of dividend insurance lies in its certainty of returns during a declining interest rate environment, with demonstration settlement yields generally between 3% and 3.5%, providing a dual advantage of yield premium and protection [2][3] Group 3 - The rapid growth of the bancassurance channel has been a key support for the high premium growth during the "New Year Opening," benefiting from the demand for residents moving savings and the long-term transformation of the bancassurance channel [4] - Regulatory changes since 2010 have aimed to curb vicious competition in the bancassurance channel, contributing to its current growth [4][5] - In the first eleven months of 2025, the premium income of life insurance companies reached 41,472 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 9.06%, driven significantly by the bancassurance channel [5] Group 4 - The insurance industry is entering a phase of high-quality development, driven by the synergy of asset and liability sides, with significant investment income growth reported [6] - The favorable performance of investment income and the strong demand for pension savings are enhancing the new business value of many insurance companies [6][7] - The current market demand remains strong, with expectations for continued growth in new single premiums and new business value, as well as an increasing proportion of dividend insurance to optimize liability costs [6][7] Group 5 - The valuation recovery logic for insurance stocks is supported by a rising cycle in both volume and price on the liability side, benefiting from the demand for savings and the increasing market share of leading companies [7] - The current strong performance of equity investments and the high growth of new single premiums create a virtuous cycle, although potential risks from future interest rate declines or market fluctuations need to be monitored [7]