每日机构分析：1月8日

Group 1 - The New York Mellon Bank economists suggest that political intervention may lead the Federal Reserve towards a more accommodative monetary policy, increasing long-term depreciation pressure on the US dollar due to larger policy easing, reduced safe-haven appeal, and narrowing growth advantages [1] - MKS PAMP analysts indicate that the market is weighing geopolitical risks from US interventions in Venezuela and Greenland while closely monitoring US macroeconomic signals, leading to cautious investor sentiment ahead of key non-farm payroll data [1] - Goldman Sachs analysts predict that bonds may become a drag on diversified asset portfolios in the first half of 2024, as they struggle to provide significant cushioning during stock market downturns, prompting the development of alternative diversification tools and hedging strategies [1] Group 2 - Horvath's research shows that German SMEs are expected to allocate 0.35% of their revenue to AI spending in 2025, which is 30% lower than the overall corporate average of 0.5%, primarily due to geopolitical tensions and cost optimization needs [2] - DBS Bank forecasts that the Bank of Thailand may further cut interest rates by 25 basis points in the first half of the year to support economic growth and improve the credit environment, as CPI has remained below target for ten consecutive months [2] - Macquarie predicts that global demand for AI infrastructure will continue to exceed supply through 2026, driving a semiconductor upcycle that will last until 2027, with storage chips benefiting the most from supply shortages and price fluctuations [2] Group 3 - Citigroup economists note that the Bank of Thailand is unlikely to cut rates in February 2026 due to improving economic activity and a narrowing decline in consumer prices, providing policymakers with room to pause easing measures [3] - Analysts indicate that the recent strengthening of the British pound is driven by improved risk sentiment and easing fiscal concerns, but the current valuation may be "overextended" without fundamental economic support, potentially leading to renewed monetary easing by the Bank of England [3]