美国中产崛起 高盛押注美股2026“消费牛”接棒AI

Group 1 - The core focus of Wall Street strategists is shifting towards companies benefiting from increased middle-class consumer spending as concerns over the AI trading frenzy diminish [1] - Goldman Sachs analysts, led by Ben Snider, are optimistic about healthcare providers, materials producers, and essential consumer goods manufacturers, particularly those selling discretionary non-essential items [1][2] - The S&P Retail Select Industry Index, which includes companies like CarMax (KMX.US), Etsy (ETSY.US), and Academy Sports & Outdoors (ASO.US), has risen 3.5% since the beginning of the year and 8.8% since the busy holiday shopping season began last November [1] Group 2 - Multiple favorable factors are expected to inject momentum into the consumer market, including the gradual easing of negative impacts from tariffs imposed during the Trump administration, a stabilizing labor market, and tax rebates from significant legislation enacted by the U.S. government last year [2] - Economists predict that U.S. economic growth will reach 2.1% this year, driven by consumer spending, prompting investors to shift funds towards underperforming sectors [5] - The market is experiencing a broader rally, moving away from reliance on a few tech stocks, with investors turning to sectors with higher beta coefficients that are closely tied to the economic conditions of the average American consumer [5] Group 3 - Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS.US) has emerged as an early beneficiary of this potential sector rotation, with its stock rising 6.1% in just four trading days at the start of 2026 [6] - Goldman Sachs has identified additional retail chains that stand to benefit from the growth of middle-class wealth, including Burlington Stores (BURL.US), Best Buy (BBY.US), Five Below (FIVE.US), Levi's (LEVI.US), and Gap (GAP.US) [6] - Despite facing fierce competition from e-commerce giants like Amazon (AMZN.US), investors are increasingly focusing on alternative investment opportunities amid high valuations in large tech and AI-driven companies [6] Group 4 - Value stocks are perceived as a "value pit" in the market, with growth stock valuations considered excessively high [7]