Exploring Analyst Estimates for JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) Q4 Earnings, Beyond Revenue and EPS

Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that JPMorgan Chase & Co. will report quarterly earnings of $5.01 per share, reflecting a 4.2% year-over-year increase, with revenues expected to reach $45.71 billion, a 6.9% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, there has been a 1% upward revision in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter, indicating analysts' reassessment of their initial forecasts [2]. - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior regarding the stock, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate that 'Consumer & Community Banking - Revenue By Business - Card Services & Auto' will reach $7.15 billion, a year-over-year change of +3.4% [5]. - The revenue for 'Consumer & Community Banking - Revenue By Business - Banking & Wealth Management' is projected at $10.94 billion, indicating a +7.7% year-over-year change [5]. - For 'Commercial & Investment Bank - Revenue by Business - Payments', the estimate is $4.80 billion, reflecting a +2.1% change from the prior year [6]. - The total revenue for 'Commercial & Investment Bank - Revenue by Business - Total Banking & Payments' is expected to be $9.55 billion, with a +3% year-over-year change [6]. - Analysts forecast 'Commercial & Investment Bank - Revenue by Business - Fixed Income Markets' to reach $5.61 billion, indicating a +12.1% change from the year-ago quarter [7]. Key Financial Metrics - The average prediction for 'Book value per share' is $126.57, up from $116.07 a year ago [7]. - The consensus estimate for 'Total Interest Earning Assets - Average Balance' stands at $3986.42 billion, compared to $3571.96 billion a year ago [7]. - Analysts estimate 'Total Non-Performing Assets' at $11.16 billion, up from $9.29 billion in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Total Non-Performing Loans' are projected to reach $10.54 billion, compared to $8.83 billion in the same quarter last year [9]. - The 'Tier 1 Capital Ratio' is expected to be 15.9%, down from 16.8% a year ago [9]. - The 'Total Capital Ratio' is projected to be 17.8%, compared to 18.5% in the same quarter last year [9]. Stock Performance - Shares of JPMorgan Chase & Co. have increased by +5.4% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which moved +0.9% [11].