TSMC (TSM): AI Boom, Revenue Upside, and Attractive Valuation Through 2027

Core Viewpoint - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC) is identified as a key investment opportunity in the AI sector, with expectations of significant revenue growth and profitability through 2026 [1][2]. Group 1: Revenue Growth Expectations - Morgan Stanley anticipates TSMC will guide for 2026 revenue growth in the mid-20% range, but projects actual growth closer to 30% year-over-year, surpassing the Street consensus of 22% [2]. - The higher growth forecast is attributed to strong demand for TSMC's AI and advanced-node products, which the analysts believe is underestimated by the market [2]. Group 2: Capital Expenditure and Valuation - The 30% revenue growth forecast is based on a projected capital expenditure of $49 billion for 2026 and ongoing expansion of 3-nanometer capacity [3]. - TSMC's stock remains attractive at a valuation of 16x or 13x the average EPS for 2026/2027, even after the price target increase [3]. Group 3: Company Overview - TSMC is recognized as the world's largest contract chipmaker, specializing in advanced semiconductors utilized in AI training and inference, including GPUs and custom accelerators [4].