2025年12月制造业市场需求回升，原材料供应端交货时间持续缩短

Economic Activity Index - The China High-Frequency Economic Activity Index (YHEI) as of January 6, 2026, is 1.13, an increase of 0.05 from December 30, 2025, driven by a rise in the coastal coal freight index [1][3] - The "import dry bulk freight index" remained stable at 1.15, indicating consistent shipping costs [1][3] Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI for December 2025 is 50.1%, up 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, marking a return to expansion for the first time since April 2025 [17] - High-tech manufacturing, equipment manufacturing, and consumer goods sectors saw PMIs of 52.5%, 50.4%, and 50.4%, respectively, all above the neutral line [17] - New orders index rose from 49.2% to 50.8%, and the production index increased by 1.7 percentage points to 51.7% [2][17] - The procurement volume index also returned to expansion at 51.1%, indicating increased demand for raw materials [2][17] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index for December 2025 is 50.2%, up 0.7 percentage points, indicating a return to expansion [18] - The construction and service sectors reported indices of 52.8% and 49.7%, respectively, with construction rebounding after four months of contraction [18] Price Trends - The producer price index increased by 0.7 percentage points to 48.9%, while the main raw material purchase price index remains high at 53.1% [2][17] Financial Market Indicators - The central bank's net cash withdrawal through open market operations was 695.9 billion yuan, with a reverse repurchase rate of 1.4% [5] - The overnight interbank rate decreased by 1 basis point to 1.33%, while the seven-day repo rate fell by 66 basis points to 1.49% [8] Real Estate Market - In the week ending January 6, 2026, new and second-hand home transaction areas in first-tier cities fell by 48.57% and 38.95%, respectively [30] - Second-tier cities saw a decline of 59.67% and 23.04% in transaction areas for new and second-hand homes [30] Consumer Behavior - The average daily box office for movies reached 154 million yuan, an increase of 78.64 million yuan from the previous week [32]