Analysts Estimate Goldman Sachs (GS) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Goldman Sachs despite higher revenues, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Goldman Sachs is expected to report quarterly earnings of $11.69 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 2.2%, while revenues are projected to be $14.53 billion, an increase of 4.7% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 3.99% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading can indicate the likely deviation of actual earnings from consensus estimates, with a positive reading being a strong predictor of an earnings beat [9][10]. - For Goldman Sachs, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.14%, which complicates predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - Goldman Sachs has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +10.26% in the most recent quarter [13][14]. Comparative Analysis - In contrast, Wells Fargo is expected to report earnings of $1.65 per share, a year-over-year increase of 16.2%, with revenues projected at $21.6 billion, up 6% [18][19]. - Wells Fargo's consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.1% higher, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +0.74%, indicating a higher likelihood of beating the consensus estimate [19][20].