2025年全国期货市场累计成交量、额同比双增

Core Insights - The Chinese futures market showed significant growth in December, with a trading volume of 9.51 billion contracts and a turnover of 90.81 trillion yuan, marking year-on-year increases of 45.17% and 58.55% respectively [1] - By the end of 2025, the cumulative trading volume is projected to reach 90.74 billion contracts and a turnover of 766.25 trillion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 17.4% and 23.74% [1] Trading Volume and Turnover by Exchange - The Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) is expected to have a trading volume of approximately 23.35 billion contracts and a turnover of about 259 trillion yuan by 2025, with year-on-year growth of 3.31% and 27.86% [1] - The Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE) is projected to achieve a trading volume of around 31.38 billion contracts and a turnover of approximately 88.96 trillion yuan, with year-on-year increases of 20.26% and 4.47% [1] - The Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) is anticipated to have a trading volume of about 26.07 billion contracts and a turnover of around 102.77 trillion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 14.94% and 4.49% [1] - The China Financial Futures Exchange (CFFEX) is expected to reach a trading volume of approximately 3.04 billion contracts and a turnover of about 255.19 trillion yuan, with year-on-year increases of 19.94% and 33.66% [1] - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange (GFE) is projected to have a trading volume of around 5.34 billion contracts and a turnover of approximately 31.60 trillion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 171.62% and 190.27% [1] Leading Products by Trading Volume and Turnover - In December, the top three products by turnover at SHFE were silver futures, gold futures, and copper futures [2] - The leading products by turnover at ZCE included PTA futures, caustic soda futures, and glass futures [2] - The DCE's top products by turnover were coking coal futures, palm oil futures, and soybean meal futures [2] - GFE's leading products by turnover included lithium carbonate futures, polysilicon futures, and platinum futures [2] - CFFEX's top products by turnover were CSI 1000 index futures, CSI 500 index futures, and 30-year treasury bond futures [2] Market Drivers and Trends - The growth in the futures market is attributed to increased hedging demand from industrial enterprises due to factors such as fluctuating U.S. tariffs, a loose global monetary policy environment, rising geopolitical risks, and domestic economic adjustments [3] - The influx of long-term capital into the capital market, particularly from insurance funds, has also contributed to the increased hedging demand [3] - The recovery of operational conditions in the real economy, especially in new sectors like renewable energy and AI, has boosted optimism regarding the demand for new energy materials [3] - The introduction of 18 new futures and options products covering various sectors has enhanced the product system of the market [3] Performance of Commodity Markets - The commodity market experienced more declines than increases last year, with precious metals continuing to rise for the fourth consecutive year; gold and silver prices increased by 55.77% and 124.62% respectively [4] - The non-ferrous metals sector also performed strongly, with copper and tin prices rising by 33.18% and 29.01% respectively [4] - The energy and chemical sector, however, faced challenges, with crude oil prices declining by 10.98% [4] Future Outlook - The futures market is expected to continue its high-quality development, with anticipated growth in trading volume and turnover of 10% to 15% this year [4] - New products like coking coal options are expected to be launched, further expanding the market's service scope [4] - The demand for hedging from real enterprises is projected to increase due to ongoing global commodity price volatility and geopolitical risks [4]