实探深圳华强北内存市场的狂热与忐忑：内存价格创历史新高 商家喜忧参半

Core Viewpoint - The memory market has entered a "super bull market" since the second half of 2025, with prices for various memory modules generally increasing by over 200%, surpassing historical highs from 2018 [1][2] Price Trends - Prices for memory modules have seen significant fluctuations, with some products experiencing price increases of up to 400% [1] - The most intense price surge occurred from September to October last year, with an average daily increase of 100 yuan for various memory types [2] - The core component, storage chips, is driving further price increases, with forecasts indicating a 40% to 50% rise in prices by Q4 2025 and an additional 40% to 50% in Q1 2026 [2][6] Market Sentiment - Many merchants in Huaqiangbei express mixed feelings about the price surge; while higher prices lead to increased profit margins, sales volumes have significantly declined [4][5] - Some shops report a drop in sales by over 90%, as non-essential consumers reduce purchases of computer components due to high memory prices [4][5] Supply Chain Dynamics - The surge in memory prices is attributed to AI servers consuming production capacity from major manufacturers like Samsung and Micron, leading to shortages in consumer-oriented memory products [6] - Analysts predict that the supply constraints for DDR4 and DDR5 memory will persist, with further price increases expected in early 2026 [6] Impact on Other Industries - The rising memory prices are expected to impact downstream markets, including smartphones and automotive sectors, with potential BOM cost increases of up to 15% for certain smartphone models [7] - The automotive industry is particularly affected, as it competes with AI and computing sectors for memory components, leading to significant cost pressures [7]