Ge Long Hui·2026-01-08 21:33Core Viewpoint - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) is positioned as a leader in marine energy development, focusing on enhancing oil and gas reserves, technological innovation, and transitioning to new energy systems to support the construction of a marine power nation [1][2]. Group 1: Performance and Financials - CNOOC's performance in 2023 has significantly exceeded historical oil price levels, demonstrating resilience during periods of declining oil prices [1]. - The company's free cash flow has improved markedly, exceeding 100 billion yuan from 2022 to 2023, with interest-bearing debt ratio decreasing from 17% in 2021 to 6% in the first half of 2025 [1]. - CNOOC plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of no less than 45% from 2025 to 2027, translating strong performance and cash flow into investor returns [1]. Group 2: Production and Cost Efficiency - CNOOC's oil and gas production is projected to grow rapidly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.0% for crude oil and 10.5% for natural gas from 2021 to 2024 [2]. - The company's major cost per barrel of oil equivalent is $27.35, a 2.8% year-on-year decrease, which is significantly lower than competitors in both domestic and international markets [2]. Group 3: Energy Transition and ESG - CNOOC is actively pursuing energy transition by developing renewable energy resources and enhancing its ESG governance framework [2]. - The company aims to replace 760 million kilowatt-hours with green electricity by 2024 and expects to consume over 1 billion kilowatt-hours of green electricity in 2025, marking a 30% year-on-year increase [2]. - CNOOC is exploring industrialization paths for offshore CCS/CCUS and is establishing two offshore CCUS bases in Bohai and Hainan [2]. Group 4: Investment Outlook - CNOOC is expected to maintain strong performance due to its production growth and cost control, with projected net profits of 135.4 billion, 139.8 billion, and 144.3 billion yuan for 2025-2027, translating to earnings per share (EPS) of 2.85, 2.94, and 3.04 yuan respectively [3]. - The company maintains a "buy" rating for its A-shares and initiates coverage with a "buy" rating for its H-shares [3].