原油，大涨

Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 270.03 points, an increase of 0.55%, closing at 49,266.11 points, while the Nasdaq Composite fell by 104.25 points, a decrease of 0.44%, closing at 23,480.02 points [2] - The S&P 500 index saw a marginal increase of 0.53 points, or 0.01%, closing at 6,921.46 points [2] Economic Outlook - Fitch Ratings has upgraded the U.S. GDP growth forecast for 2025 and 2026, incorporating delayed economic data due to the government shutdown [4] - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower the federal funds rate to 3.25% in the first half of 2026, with projections indicating a potential reduction of about 150 basis points [4] - Inflation expectations in the U.S. have risen, while consumer confidence in the job market has dropped to its lowest level in over 12 years [4] Energy Sector - Oil prices increased, with WTI crude for February rising by 3.2% to settle at $57.76 per barrel, and Brent crude for March up by 3.4% to $61.99 per barrel [5] - Energy stocks experienced a broad rally, with notable gains in companies such as ExxonMobil (up over 3%), Chevron (up over 2%), and ConocoPhillips (up over 5%) [5][6] Mining Industry - Glencore and Rio Tinto have resumed negotiations to potentially create the world's largest mining company, with a combined market value exceeding $260 billion [7] - The ongoing competition for copper resources is reshaping the mining landscape, prompting this merger discussion [7] Technology Sector - Major tech stocks showed mixed performance, with the U.S. Tech Seven Index declining by 0.27% [8] - Apple has seen a continuous decline for seven trading days, attributed to high interest rate expectations impacting growth stock valuations [8][10]