金荣中国：美非农就业数据公布在即，金价触底反弹加剧震荡

Market Overview - International gold prices rebounded on Thursday, January 8, closing at $4,454.14 per ounce after fluctuating between a high of $4,468.32 and a low of $4,407.70 [1] - The market is currently focused on the upcoming non-farm employment report, with economists predicting an increase of 60,000 jobs and a slight decrease in the unemployment rate from 4.6% to 4.5% [3] Economic Indicators - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. have shown a mild increase, indicating a relatively low level of layoffs despite ongoing labor demand weakness [3] - The New York Fed's monthly survey revealed a rise in inflation expectations to 3.4% for the coming year, up from 3.2% in November, while consumer confidence in job opportunities has dropped to a 12.5-year low [3] - Fitch Ratings has revised its GDP growth forecasts for the U.S., projecting a 2.1% growth for 2025 and 2.0% for 2026, influenced by delayed economic data due to the government shutdown [7] Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve Governor Milan anticipates a 150 basis point rate cut this year to boost the labor market, suggesting that core inflation may stabilize around 2.3% [4] - The market is currently pricing in a 13.8% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January, with an 86.2% chance of maintaining current rates [9] Geopolitical Factors - Ongoing geopolitical tensions, including U.S. actions in Venezuela, are providing support for gold prices [6] - President Trump has indicated he has made a decision regarding the next Federal Reserve Chair but has not disclosed the nominee [6] Trading Strategy - The current trading strategy suggests maintaining a cautious approach with a focus on buying on dips, as gold prices show signs of strong support [13][14]