山海：黄金保持北伐计划，同时等待非农有效冲击！

Group 1 - The market is showing unclear performance following recent data shocks, with the ADP employment data falling short of expectations, which is bullish for precious metals, yet gold and silver have not seen significant upward movement and instead experienced a reverse adjustment [2] - The unemployment claims data met expectations, which is bearish for precious metals, but gold and silver also did not see significant declines, instead showing a trend upward, reaching a high of around 4485 [4][5] - Attention is now on the upcoming non-farm payroll data, which could provide real guidance for gold prices, with previous values at 64,000 and a market forecast of 60,000 [5] Group 2 - The technical analysis indicates a bullish trend for gold, with a rise from 4300 to 4400 and then to 4500, despite the recent data having limited impact on the overall bullish outlook [4][5] - The market is expected to remain in a bullish trend as long as it does not fall below 4400, with potential fluctuations between 4500 and 4400 [5] - Domestic gold prices have shown expected upward movement, with the Shanghai gold contract reaching a high of 1010, and the market is advised to wait for the non-farm data impact before making further moves [6] Group 3 - Silver has experienced significant downward adjustments, with prices dropping to 74, but there are indications of a rebound, and as long as the trend remains positive, there are opportunities for bullish positions [6][7] - The domestic silver market has also seen a decline, with the Shanghai silver contract dropping to around 17800, but after a rebound, it has risen to approximately 18500 [7] - The oil market has been fluctuating between 56 and 60, with recent highs reaching 58.8, and the expectation is for continued range-bound trading unless it breaks above 60 [7]