地缘扰动推动有色牛市持续，矿业ETF（561330）涨超2%

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the non-ferrous metal bull market is expected to continue due to geopolitical disturbances, major power competition, and energy revolution [3][4] - The mining ETF (561330) has seen a significant increase, with over 530 million yuan net inflow for 10 consecutive days, indicating strong market interest [1][3] - Supply uncertainties for resource products are rising, particularly due to geopolitical tensions and labor strikes affecting major mining operations in regions like Latin America [3][4] Group 2 - The mining ETF (561330) is outperforming other ETFs, ranking third in overall market performance for 2025, with a focus on leading companies in the sector [4] - The top ten components of the mining ETF account for 56.13% of its total weight, indicating a more concentrated investment in leading firms compared to the broader non-ferrous index [4][6] - The index has a higher proportion of gold, copper, and rare earths at 55.8%, compared to 50.9% in the broader non-ferrous index, enhancing its performance potential [7] Group 3 - The copper market is expected to benefit from supply-demand imbalances and a favorable interest rate environment, with historical trends suggesting price increases during rate cuts [12] - Aluminum supply is constrained, with limited capacity growth expected in 2026, while new demand from sectors like renewable energy is anticipated to support high prices [12] - Lithium demand is projected to grow significantly due to energy storage needs, with a potential supply-demand balance expected by 2026, driving prices upward [13] Group 4 - The rare earth market is seeing limited easing of export restrictions, which could enhance profit margins and valuations due to high overseas demand [14] - The mining ETF (561330) currently has a scale of 1.561 billion yuan, leading its category, and has shown a remarkable increase of 106.11% in 2025, making it the top performer among non-ferrous ETFs [14]