今晚非农助力上涨还是急刹车？

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates by 150 basis points by 2026, which could lead to gold prices exceeding $5,000 and silver reaching $90 [1] - Fed Governor Milan advocates for aggressive rate cuts to support the weak labor market, citing a current inflation rate of 2.3% as a reason for potential easing [1][2] - The upcoming change in Fed leadership after Powell's term ends in May will significantly influence the pace and magnitude of future rate cuts [2] Group 2 - Recent gold price movements show volatility, with prices fluctuating around $4,480, indicating a mixed market sentiment [3] - Geopolitical risks are currently driving gold prices, with shorter adjustment periods observed in the market, suggesting a rapid shift in trading patterns [3] - The upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll data is crucial as it will directly impact market expectations regarding Fed rate cuts, emphasizing the importance of market sentiment over actual data [3][4] Group 3 - The key resistance level for gold is at $4,500, with traders advised to consider short positions near this level while looking for long opportunities at trendline support [4] - Concerns exist regarding a potential sudden market crash due to the short adjustment cycle and significant long positions in gold and silver, which could lead to forced selling if market sentiment shifts [5]