美联储，突发！降息信号来了？

Market Performance - On January 8, US stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones up 0.55%, S&P 500 up 0.01%, and Nasdaq down 0.44% [1] - The Dow Jones closed at 49,266.11, gaining 270.03 points, while Nasdaq closed at 23,480.02, losing 104.25 points [2] Sector Performance - Energy stocks surged, with ConocoPhillips up over 5%, ExxonMobil up over 3%, and Chevron up over 2%. The S&P 500 Energy Index rose 3.2%, marking the largest single-day gain since April 2025 [7] - In contrast, large-cap technology stocks mostly declined, with Intel down over 3%, Microsoft down over 1%, and Nvidia down over 2%, resulting in a market cap loss of $98.9 billion for Nvidia [3][4] Commodity Prices - International oil prices rose significantly, with NYMEX WTI crude and ICE Brent crude both increasing by 4%, closing at $58.4 per barrel and $62.79 per barrel, respectively [8] Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index increased by 1.09%, with notable gains from Century Internet up nearly 11%, and other companies like Global Data and Youdao rising over 7% [9] Federal Reserve Outlook - President Trump indicated he has decided on the next Federal Reserve chair nominee, but did not disclose the name [10] - Federal Reserve Governor Milan projected a potential interest rate cut of about 150 basis points by 2026, which could create approximately 1 million jobs without triggering inflation [11] - The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) forecasts a slight interest rate cut this year to address labor market risks, with current rates between 3.5% and 3.75% expected to drop to 3.4% by Q4 [12]