世界经济论坛《2026年全球合作晴雨表》：和平与安全合作下滑显著

Core Insights - The World Economic Forum's "2026 Global Cooperation Index" indicates a shift towards trade and technology cooperation among like-minded countries, while peace and security cooperation has significantly declined [1] Trade and Capital - Overall cooperation in trade and capital remains above the 2019 baseline, but structural changes are profound; global goods trade continues to grow, yet at a slower pace than global economic development [3] - Trade flows are increasingly concentrating among like-minded partners, with many countries forming smaller alliances due to rising barriers in the multilateral trade system [3] Innovation and Technology - Cooperation in innovation and technology is strengthening despite tightening technology controls, leading to new development momentum [3] - There has been a significant increase in information technology services and talent mobility, with international bandwidth capacity expanding fourfold compared to pre-pandemic levels [3] - Restrictions on the flow of key resources, technologies, and knowledge are increasing, while new cooperation models are emerging, particularly in cutting-edge technologies like AI and 5G infrastructure among aligned nations [3] Climate and Natural Capital - Progress in climate and natural capital cooperation has been made, but it still falls short of global expectations [3] - The deployment of clean technologies reached a historical high in 2025, driven by expanded financing and global supply chain collaboration [3] - China contributed two-thirds of the new capacity in solar, wind, and electric vehicles, with other developing economies accelerating their efforts [3] Health and Wellness - Cooperation in health and wellness remains stable, showing resilience, but the global health assistance system faces significant pressure [4] - The overall level of health cooperation has not declined, partly due to ongoing improvements in health indicators post-pandemic [4] - However, the pressure on multilateral institutions has led to a blockage in health support funding, significantly reducing development aid, which poses severe challenges for low- and middle-income countries [4] Peace and Security - Cooperation in peace and security is continuously shrinking, with all monitored indicators below pre-pandemic levels [4] - Escalating conflict situations and rising military expenditures are evident, while global multilateral mediation mechanisms struggle to alleviate crises [4] - By the end of 2024, the number of forcibly displaced persons is projected to reach 123 million, a historical high, prompting new cooperation dynamics through regional peacekeeping mechanisms [4]