1月9日【油价大涨】原油大涨3.39%，国内油价跌幅减至50元/吨

Core Viewpoint - The current oil price adjustment cycle is in a downtrend, but the expected decrease has significantly narrowed due to a recent surge in international oil prices, with a potential adjustment of 50 yuan/ton anticipated by January 20, 2026 [1][2]. Oil Price Adjustment Predictions - As of January 9, 2026, the expected reduction in gasoline and diesel prices is 50 yuan/ton, a decrease of 30 yuan/ton from the previous day, translating to a drop of 0.04 to 0.05 yuan per liter [1]. - The adjustment window is set for January 20, 2026, and the next seven days of international oil price trends will be crucial in determining the final adjustment direction [1][2]. International Oil Price Trends - On January 8, 2026, international oil prices rebounded sharply, with WTI crude oil closing at $57.76 per barrel (up 3.16%) and Brent crude at $61.99 per barrel (up 3.39%) [1]. - The average price of WTI crude oil for the first three days of the current cycle is $56.96 per barrel, and Brent is $60.88 per barrel, both showing an increase of approximately $0.5 per barrel from the previous day [2]. Domestic Fuel Prices - As of January 9, 2026, the average prices for gasoline and diesel across various regions in China are as follows: 92-octane gasoline at 6.7 yuan/liter, 95-octane gasoline at 7.15 yuan/liter, and 0 diesel at 6.31 yuan/liter, representing the lowest prices in nearly four years [3]. - The current low prices provide a benefit to consumers, but future adjustments will depend on international oil price movements [3].