Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities predicts that the average stock price of covered Chinese software companies will rise by 16% by 2025, underperforming the MSCI China Index's increase of 23% [1] Group 1: Industry Outlook - The firm holds a cautiously optimistic view on software demand for 2026, driven by accelerated AI monetization and trends in software import substitution, despite weak demand across various verticals [1] - Overall, the firm forecasts a 12% year-on-year revenue growth for the Chinese software and IT services industry in 2026, down from a 13% growth forecast for 2025 [1] Group 2: Revenue Projections - After a downward revision of approximately 2% for revenue forecasts in 2025-2026, the expected average revenue growth for covered software companies is projected to accelerate to 14% year-on-year in 2026, compared to 7% in 2025 [1] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - The firm maintains a selective positive outlook on companies in the Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP), photo editing software, and office software sectors, as these segments show higher growth visibility under the SaaS model and AI-driven initiatives [1] - Conversely, a cautious stance is held towards cybersecurity and real estate software due to weak demand [1] Group 4: Preferred Stocks - Preferred stocks include Kingdee International (00268), Meitu Inc. (01357), and Kingsoft Office (688111.SH), all rated as "Buy" [1]
美银证券:中资软件首选股金蝶国际及金山办公(688111.SH)